Rationalizable Foresight Dynamics

Akihiko Matsui
Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo

and

Daisuke Oyama
Graduate School of Economics, University of Tokyo


Abstract
This paper proposes and studies the rationalizable foresight dynamics. A normal form game is repeatedly played in a random matching fashion by a continuum of agents who make decisions at stochastic points in time. A rationalizable foresight path is a feasible path of action distribution along which each agent takes an action that maximizes his expected discounted payoff against another path which is in turn a rationalizable foresight path. We consider a set-valued stability concept under this dynamics and compare it with the corresponding concept under the perfect foresight dynamics.
Key Words: rationalizability, Nash equilibrium, rationalizable foresight, perfect foresight, stability under rationalizable foresight (RF-stability), stability under perfect foresight (PF-stability).


Games and Economic Behavior 56 (2006), 299-322.
First draft: February 26, 2002; this version: June 15, 2005. PDF file